I wrote this essay in early April, 2020, just as physical distancing was emerging as a way to combat the spread of the novel coronavirus. The nation’s fate in this pandemic must be understood in the context of Donald Trump’s administration. The personal reality he has constructed undercuts the country’s medical experts’ efforts at fact-gathering and analysis. President Trump and key members of his administration have suppressed the rule of law, the balance of powers, and open debate. The President and his supporters consistently deny the scientific evidence of global warming. (By the way, I don’t call it “climate change.” If the temperature of the oceans rises, that’s a global phenomenon, not a variation in climate.) They deny the intelligence community’s evidence of Russian interference in the 2016 election. Attorney General William Barr (March 24, 2019) gave a misleading summation of the Mueller Report, and Mueller himself wrote a “conclusion” far weaker than what his own team’s evidence required (April 18, 2019).
In early January, 2020, President Trump’s Deputy National Security Adviser Matthew Pottinger, a former intelligence officer in the Marines, and a former Wall Street Journal correspondent in Hong Kong, learned from an epidemiologist there that the novel coronavirus, “which originated in the city of Wuhan, was being transmitted by people who were showing no symptoms.” (NYTimes, April 12, A1, 13-15 at p. 14 B). For Matthew Pottinger’s impressive career, see this link.) Thus, a Hong Kong doctor, during months of anti-China demonstrations in that city, revealed that China was covering up a more rapid spread of the disease than merely tracking the symptoms would indicate. The President did not wish to alarm the American people. At the same time, he was trying to conclude a trade deal with China, so he did not wish to upset the Chinese government. He was enduring the Senate’s impeachment trial. Even though his acquittal was a foregone conclusion, surely this was a difficult time for him. These are understandable distractions, but this sympathy can go too far. He is president of a republic, first among equals, not an isolated individual. The President’s premise is that nothing goes wrong in Trump’s America, and when it does, the fault lies elsewhere. The threat of an invisible pandemic should override the president’s ambitions on trade, his political fate, or his popularity ratings. As this article in the Wall Street Journal shows, President Trump’s priorities have hampered the doctors and scientists working to protect the public and to devise measures effective against COVID-19.
Nonetheless, following the advice of medical experts, a vast proportion of the U. S. population now cooperates by “sheltering-in-place” to avoid catching or spreading the coronavirus. There is naturally some resentment of those who violate the quarantine. Critics of those who, without good reason, refuse to shelter in place contrast our peers to the generation that fought WWII by saying “My grandparents went to war all around the world to make our country safe yet we refuse to help by staying home.” Right. Still, the coronavirus is a new threat that arrives in the midst of this broader, Trumpian crisis — less life-threatening in the short term, but more dangerous to the freedom we Americans cherish. So “just staying home” even though helpful in fighting the coronavirus, is not enough for the overall situation.
We must not let the fight for physical health become a moral decline. We’re in a weird situation: active cooperation by sheltering in place can become a sin of omission. We can’t just shrug and say, “that was something I couldn’t change.” The question remains: If culpable complacency is suicide, what is to be done? I asked that question once to my skeptics’ discussion group, and two folks roared back, “Ring doorbells. Get the hell out there.” Electoral politics. That may not be enough. We can bring change. With intellect, resilience, creativity, and resolve; with facts, and reason, and a clear view of the world as it is, we can devise constructive actions. Until the virus is somewhat tamed and it’s safe to go out, we must convert our physical isolation into action. We can donate online to worthy causes and candidates whose priorities we share. Even more important: we can write. They say “the pen is mightier than the sword,” but it might not be mightier than the lie. What we can do is expose the lie. Speak, write, and tweet the truth — often. Write the truth (very concisely) on a picket sign and, when the time comes, march.
I hope these lines encourage many to act along with me, but there’s a proviso. We must convince others. Self-congratulatory circles have some benefit, but they risk being no more than collective isolation. I found an important clue in a New York Times opinion piece by Viet Thanh Nguyen. “What this crisis has revealed is that, while almost all of us can become vulnerable — even corporations and the wealthy — our government prioritizes the protection of the least vulnerable.” That formulation is too cryptic to use in exactly those words, but it is at the core of our troubles. Expound that truth as far as possible and we will burst from this confinement with new drive. We will strengthen our empathy and acknowledge that those who sheltered in place and those who bring them their food and hook up their oxygen have bonded, recognized the mutual responsibility their relationship demands, and will negotiate a far more equitable social contract.
Dick Danehower says
On the one hand, if one considers all the many past pandemics, so far this is not that remarkable. (In 1348-49 approximately 1/3 of Europeans were dead after the plague!). I read that 80,000 Americans died in the influenza of 2018. Presently I believe there are about 40,000 deaths from COVID-19. Of course, who knows where it will finalize.
But I certainly share your distress with our “leadership“ in this crisis – and that combined with being under “home arrest“. I agree with your advice.
Alan Bernstein says
I agree that the numbers of dead in the US so far does not approach the numbers in other events, whether previous plagues or pandemics, wars, traffic accidents, suicides, etc.(The CDC states that the Spanish Flu epidemic of 1918 caused 675,000 deaths in the US.) For me the question is how many of our losses were or will be unnecessary. Anyone could be slow to catch on to the gravity of the threat, but right now we are suffering from leadership that is faulty in the extreme. Flaws knowable from other incidents make it clear that the President’s slow response was not exclusively due to the difficulty of understanding the biology or the mathematics of pandemics.
As for the home arrest strategy. Yes, it’s imposed from above by a sole authority, the governor, and that’s not how democracy is supposed to work. We must be vigilant about emergency measures. It’s dangerous to surrender individual liberties even in emergencies and even temporarily. Too many of them can become permanent. Still, viruses are contagious and will multiply exponentially if we do nothing. Self-isolation has proven effective. I was very impressed by the graphic simulation the Washington Post circulated about how, mathematically, a virus could spread if each infected person infects “x” more. You and I are old enough to remember the air raid drills and blackouts during World War II. We sheltered at home in the dark and in silence just in case German airplanes were overhead. This isn’t a war, but in my opinion, now is a good time to practice similar cooperative discipline.
Thomas Heffernan says
Thank you for your wise analysis and suggestions of what to do while in the grip of the pandemic. If you have not heard him, you might catch Governor Andrew Cuomo’s briefing of the pandemic and how he is managing the acute crisis in New York. Science and facts matter to him while all that matters to Trump is self adulation.
Polly Aird says
I thinkTrump only prioritizes his own reelection. And yet he is not acting as a president should. He wants to look big, but will not take responsibility. The governors are crying for more PPE and more tests, and he says it’s not his problem. At least in Seattle, I don’t think there are many that ignore science and think sheltering-at-home takes away our liberties. As for things we can do: let our governors and mayors know that we support them; if we can sew, make face masks; help our neighbors who are vulnerable get groceries or whatever they need; stay in touch with our families and friends, etc. etc.
Judy Langsfeld says
Well said Alan. Thank you
Karen says
Well stated. But don’t forget those that are not on social media and, therefore, the need to reach out in more traditional ways too, even if it is one person at a time who then touches base with their circle of people, and so on, and so on. Every person counts and has an effect on the outcome no matter what age, race, etc.
Judith Daar says
Thanks Alan. It is good to hear that people miss the skeptics’ dinners and await their resumption. And thanks for the reminder that NOW IS THE TIME to work on change and to be generous with our cash and our time!
Ps: There is a wonderful meme going around on Facebook: because of the corona virus and the economic downturn, Exxon is having to lay off some of its Congresspeople!
Katie Jasper says
Writing definitely helps. I experienced the pandemic from Italy, which was hit hard and fast, very early in the crisis. I wrote every single day on social media as the situation developed. I didn’t think it meant much but when my friends in the US started experiencing some of the same things I had, I received so many messages thanking me for my candid reflections on daily life unfolding during a pandemic (and also because I was offering a glimpse into the future). But I was quickly disappointed by how many Americans were not taking this virus seriously. The most bizarre reaction, in my opinion, has been the protests in various states against lockdown measures. It puzzles me because I have no clue why the protesters have understood shelter-in-place directives as a threat to freedom. They resent government authority but this isn’t the same thing.
Alan Bernstein says
You are right. Martha Graham said “discipline is freedom.” Cooperative, collective self-discipline will free us from the viral enemy. It is not a threat to freedom.